The June 17 Iran Deal Will Not Hold On June 17 the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran signed a 14 point memorandum of understanding to end the war that began on February 28. The White House is presenting it as a diplomatic achievement. I hope I am wrong but I do not believe this deal will hold. Here is why. What I Wrote in April In April I published Kincaid's Plan for a Free Iran . In that post I made two observations. First that Trump's claim that regime change had already occurred was not accurate. Second that Trump did not appear to have a real plan. That he was making decisions day by day and continually shifting objectives. Both observations have held up. In March the President told reporters that America had achieved regime change in Iran. Because the leaders were all different. Fact checkers and foreign policy experts across the spectrum said the same thing I said. Killing leaders is not regime change. The regime's institutions and its ideolo...
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